He's Sirius: Stern to leave radio with a parade

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After plugging his new Sirius satellite radio gig to everyone from Ed Bradley on 60 Minutes to Katie Couric on Today and Bill O'Reilly on Fox News, Howard Stern plans to end his earthbound broadcast career Friday with a P.T. Barnum-like parade through Manhattan.

Ever the showman, Stern's finale on Infinity Broadcasting will get full interactive treatment on Yahoo.com before a Sheryl Crow concert at noon at the Times Square Hard Rock Café. Sirius stablemate Martha Stewart will be a host.


Stern, who once routinely refused interviews, has been everywhere of late: Tuesday on Jon Stewart's Daily Show, Wednesday on Fox's Best Damn Sports Show Period and in local media outlets across the USA.


"I got books full of notes, like a mental patient," Stern told Newsday Monday, discussing how eager he is for his new show to start. "I wish I could plug a wire into my head and play it for everyone."


Stern joins no-holds-barred Sirius Jan. 9, where radio's most famous bad boy can say and do whatever he wants without the risk of facing government fines, which he says forced him to leave a 20-year stint at Infinity.


The media blitz is paying off, says Michael Harrison, editor of Talkers magazine. "I think that Howard Stern has been for satellite radio what MiltonBerle was for television: the personality who was creating buzz for a new medium. Ordinary people now ask me at cocktail parties, 'Oh, do you think that Howard is going to succeed on Sirius?' "


Subscriptions to Sirius, where Stewart and Christian programming also are featured but where Stern is by far the biggest star, stood at 660,000 in 2004 when he announced the move. That number hit 2.2 million in September and is expected to top 3 million by January.


Stern is part of an escalating battle with competitor XM Radio, with more than 5 million subscribers, to sign marquee talent. XM announced an agreement earlier this week with Bob Dylan.


But Sirius is going to need more new subscribers (at $12.95 a month) to offset Stern's $500 million, five-year deal, says Tom Street, editor of Inside Radio. "That's a big bet to pay off."


And although Street predicts Stern will succeed, he also says Stern faces the possibility of fading in the media limelight, as radio shock jocks Opie and Anthony did when they moved to XM.


"I think you can look at what happened to Opie and Anthony, who are talented guys, and at the same time you could say they've become far less visible. That's the specter that haunts Howard and haunts Sirius," Street says.


But Harrison says it doesn't matter whether Stern gets mainstream media attention once he rolls out his new show. "What matters is that he gets listeners," Harrison says.


"It's like people have asked me, 'Is Rush Limbaugh finished because I don't hear about him as much?' The answer is no, Rush Limbaugh only needs to get ratings that generate revenue. Howard Stern needs to generate subscriptions, and if they never wrote about him again, the listeners will know about him."

http://news.yahoo.com/s/usatoday/20...4kjtBAF;_ylu=X3oDMTA5aHJvMDdwBHNlYwN5bmNhdA--
 
In fairness, before they got busted for "Sex for Sam", when were Opie and Anthony ever in the media spotlight? When they said the mayor was dead as I now remember. Anything else? They're not gaining audience (from what I can tell) but I can't and won't speculate why since I haven't heard their show in years. They were an afternoon show and I kinda lost interest in it after a while. They kind of grow old from time to time and eventually I just couldn't stick with it anymore...

A word of warning to anyone watching on yahoo or tv tomorrow...Yes there will be strippers everywhere (porn star savannah samson confirmed), but there will also be fat, retarded wack pack members all over the place. You've been warned...
 
I still prefer O & A. The troubling thing though is that Stern's lackeys are pressuring his guests not to go over there. We'll see if he still has that kind of leverage after he moves to a service with half as many subscribers as XM.

On another front, pundits are talking about how XM has effectively countered the Sirius onslaught this season with rebates which drive down the price of the radios themselves. I bought a Roady for $30 with no activation charges for my father in law. I'm gonna add him to my family plan since i have a few slots left.
 
Yeah i've seen Xm waiving fees and such, and wonder if it's not a direct result of fear. I also wonder if both companies will ever add "lost subscriber" numbers to their gain numbers, so we can see who's losing more customers. Anyone who wanted O&A has xm by now, so what's on xm that's driving sales?

O&A always talked about howard doing this and that...Don't they have anything else to talk about? How are they better/funnier than howard when they're doing the same bit howard did 20 years ago about Imus? I never understood that...And it's not like every O&A guest is a hit...Jim Breuer, who has switched to howard in recent years, drives me nuts...It's always weird to hear someone on howard who i used to hear on O&A...
 
I don't think it is fear. just good marketing. Sirius was supposed to be killing XM this season, and it just isn't happening. Sirius's stock price has been the darling the past 15 months since the Howard announcement. Look for Xm to go through the roof, when they realize many of his fans can't afford $12.99 a month....
 
BobMurdoch said:
Look for Xm to go through the roof, when they realize many of his fans can't afford $12.99 a month....

This is the most asinine, stereotypical driven, statement I have ever read about XM vs Sirius; what makes anyone think O&A fans are of a more affluent demographic? OR XM listeners for that matter!

Who also thinks that only broke white trash make up those 8M+ Stern listeners or the Sirius buyers? Just stick to commenting on who has the funniest bits and the highest ratings (if they capture that) once Howard is actually ON Sirius.



REAL NEWS (not rumors or "thoughts")

XM Satellite Radio quarterly revenue. The company's losses also have widened. XM reports third quarter revenue of $153.1 million, compared to $65.4 million in the same quarter a year ago, a 134 percent increase. XM's net loss was $131.9 million, or 60 cents per share, compared to a net loss of $118 million, or 59 cents per share in the third quarter of 2004. XM Satellite added 617,152 new subscribers during the quarter, bringing its total subscriber base to 5.03 million.

ALSO

J.P. Morgan downgraded shares of XM Satellite and Sirius Friday, saying both face challenges in subscriber growth.

XM was cut to neutral; the pay radio service might lose its lead in subscriber growth against Sirius this quarter. The brokerage lowered its estimate of fourth-quarter net subscriber additions at XM by 30,000 to 1,034,000 and said it now expects the company to remain free cash flow negative in calendar 2006. It cut its estimate of XM's free cash flow for the year by 21 cents to negative 12 cents a share.

"Our store checks suggest that the [Howard] Stern boost has likely given Sirius a fourth quarter of 2005 lead in retail sales, despite XM's radio price cuts. With Sirius auto subs ramping up, we now believe that fourth-quarter 2005 and calendar 2006 XM and Sirius sub growth could be near parity, a sentiment risk for XM," the brokerage said.
 
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NPD data for November has Sirius at 61% marketshare of all the big box retailers. Walmart is excluded from the NPD data (where XM has sold more radios than Sirius 60/40 and has represented 10% of satrad sales), but the trend is definitely going Sirius' way from 39% in July, 56% in October to 61% the previous month. I doubt if Stern is the primary reason for the increased marketshare, I think it is all the media attention that Sirius is getting from the Stern move to Sirius. In other words, brand awareness.
 
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BobMurdoch said:
I don't think it is fear. just good marketing. Sirius was supposed to be killing XM this season, and it just isn't happening. Sirius's stock price has been the darling the past 15 months since the Howard announcement. Look for Xm to go through the roof, when they realize many of his fans can't afford $12.99 a month....

Bob,

FYI - 67% of Stern listeners are white collar employees. ;)
 
Yeah, howard has a very money-heavy audience. Strippers make good money ya know...=)>

Sirius ads are EVERYWHERE...online, tv, sunday ads, it's a blitz and it's working it seems...
 
People do not realize how hard Howard will work to make SIRIUS a success. He already has the money locked up, but it's his desire to prove everyone wrong and make satrad a success that will drive him.

I have my S50 ready and waiting for him. :D
 
500 million / year = 3.12 million subscribers at 12.95/month.

Considering some of the subscribers are secondary subs at $6... Stern would have to generate sone 4-5 million subs himself just to pay for himself. I can see that happen after 2-3 years.

This is going to be interesting.
 
bcshields said:
500 million / year = 3.12 million subscribers at 12.95/month.
Considering some of the subscribers are secondary subs at $6... Stern would have to generate sone 4-5 million subs himself just to pay for himself. I can see that happen after 2-3 years.
This is going to be interesting.


It is not as interesting as you may think. It is $100 million per year minus the subscriber revenue minus the advertising revenue. It is strictly business and it appears to be good business for Sirius.
 
bcshields said:
500 million / year = 3.12 million subscribers at 12.95/month.
Considering some of the subscribers are secondary subs at $6... Stern would have to generate sone 4-5 million subs himself just to pay for himself. I can see that happen after 2-3 years. This is going to be interesting.

Bad math with incorrect facts:

Its $100 M / year (not $500 M /year)

To get any secondary sub @ $6.95, you must first have a primary @ $12.95 which the majority are. PLUS partnership dollars ALSO figure in, not just subs alone. So this money will be generated fairly easy.
 
charper1 said:
This is the most asinine, stereotypical driven, statement I have ever read about XM vs Sirius; what makes anyone think O&A fans are of a more affluent demographic? OR XM listeners for that matter!

Who also thinks that only broke white trash make up those 8M+ Stern listeners or the Sirius buyers? Just stick to commenting on who has the funniest bits and the highest ratings (if they capture that) once Howard is actually ON Sirius.

Sorry, didn't mean to imply what you thought I did. O & A suffered the same problem as many of THEIR fans couldn't afford to follow them either.

I don't think that anyone thinks that XM is where they are today due to O & A. There may be an extra 100,000 who signed up just for them (That's still 1.3 million of revenue a month). Robin was talking like they were going from 12 million listeners to 2 million listeners. They had 12 million who listened to Howard, MAYBE 1/3 of that 2 million will listen to Howard. Like O & A, his reach just shrank considerably.

Sirius HAS gained, but I contribute a lot of that to both the NFL and to Howard. Once February gets here, we will be able to see how much Howard brings to the numbers.....
 
I think people may be on the fence a bit, he's mentioned a lot of his ideas and while sure there will be anal ringtoss and tickling and such, there's going to be some real gay stuff that's bound to turn people off...The first month will probably be very experimental.
 

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