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  • Users: Ilya
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  1. Ilya

    Tesla “FSD”

    It took FSD v12 Neural Network around 18 months to learn how to drive from zero to almost human level with almost no preconceived knowledge, no preprogrammed logic, just by watching training videos. Where do you think it will be in the next 18 months if the training compute and the amount of...
  2. Ilya

    Tesla “FSD”

    FSD progress (AI progress in general) is exponential: the training compute is growing exponentially, the amount of training data is growing exponentially too. Most people don’t understand what exponential progress means. They mistakenly think that exponential should be faster than linear. In...
  3. Ilya

    Tesla “FSD”

    Tesla cabin cameras do have IR emitters, but I don’t know how effective they are against sunglasses. In any case, this is just a temporary solution until true Level 3/4 is enabled and looking at the road is no longer required.
  4. Ilya

    Tesla company news and TSLA stock

    And he won’t! He is going to stay with Tesla. Tesla will find a way to give him his 25% control (through preferred stock or in any other way). He is Tesla’s MVP and Tesla shareholders will do whatever possible to keep him around. It would be crazy not to do it.
  5. Ilya

    Tesla “FSD”

    The way I read it, if it can see your eyes, if it can confirm you are looking at the road ahead, it won’t be nagging you. Otherwise it will work the same as before. We’ll see if this works with sunglasses that are not too dark.
  6. Ilya

    Tesla “FSD”

    No nag in v12.4! :clapping From the v12.4 release notes (employee-only build 2024.9.5): Vision-Based Attention Monitoring When Full Self-Driving (Supervised) is enabled, the driver monitoring system now primarily relies on the cabin camera to determine driver attentiveness. This...
  7. Ilya

    Robotaxi- Thoughts on the concept.

    https://x.com/sawyermerritt/status/1792716053941985304
  8. Ilya

    Tesla “FSD”

    2024.14.7 is now rolling out. Still comes with FSD v12.3.6. V12.4 is going to select employees.
  9. Ilya

    Tesla company news and TSLA stock

    I don't think there is much disagreement here. By "successful" I just mean it wouldn't go bankrupt and might even keep it's leading position in the EV market. But it certainly wouldn't be as innovative and as promising as it could be under Elon's leadership. And because of that, it wouldn't...
  10. Ilya

    Tesla company news and TSLA stock

    Well, that's your opinion, which you are certainly entitled to. Tesla, that has all the actual data, disagrees with that opinion and thinks it's time to make a move in preparation for the RoboTaxi rollout and is willing to bet Billions of dollars on that. If you want to hear the reasoning and...
  11. Ilya

    Tesla company news and TSLA stock

    Regardless of how many years it takes, in the future most if not all cars will be autonomous. To me, it's not a question of IF, only WHEN. Manually driven cars will be left to enthusiasts, like horses or cars with manual transmission today. There will likely be multiple winners in the autonomy...
  12. Ilya

    Tesla company news and TSLA stock

    Bruce, I just looked through the list of all posts reported this year and I couldn't find your report. Anyway, please DM Scott Greczkowski, myself or any other mod if you need further assistance with that.
  13. Ilya

    Tesla company news and TSLA stock

    I am sorry to hear you are being attacked. I don't frequent that part of the forum. Please make sure to report any offending posts so that Scott Greczkowski or other mods responsible for that area could assist.
  14. Ilya

    Tesla company news and TSLA stock

    Let me elaborate on the Tesla's AI position and why I believe it is so important. Those who think Tesla is just a car company, can skip the rest. And those who are not interested in my opinion can skip this too! ;) Solving Autonomy requires good generalized understanding of the surrounding...
  15. Ilya

    Tesla company news and TSLA stock

    The AI part is what will mostly matter for Tesla (and the World in general) in the long run. This is of course is just an opinion, but a very strong one!
  16. Ilya

    Tesla company news and TSLA stock

    It clearly is! You seem to be questioning my integrity. I didn't say that. I said: Specifically, I do think it is too premature for me to judge the Supercharger layoffs on some rumors and leaks. I am going to wait for dust to settle to see the bigger picture. That was the context I think. I...
  17. Ilya

    Tesla company news and TSLA stock

    It's not about cars or any other current Tesla products! Cars are the past. As a car company Tesla can be successful without Musk. It's about the future: it's about the AI, including AGI and robotics. Musk wants to build a generalized AI. And it's pretty clear that he has the desire and the...
  18. Ilya

    Tesla Cybertruck

    https://x.com/andst7/status/1791435492421951717
  19. Ilya

    Apple Event - May 7, 2024 (New iPads!)

    I picked up the Smart Folio case. It doesn’t feel as good as the leather cases from the past, but it is light and thin and provides some minimal protection. And it is rather versatile as a stand. I am keeping it.
  20. Ilya

    Apple Event - May 7, 2024 (New iPads!)

    The Magic Keyboard is actually pretty good. Turns the iPad into a laptop.
  21. Ilya

    Apple Event - May 7, 2024 (New iPads!)

    The new iPad has finally arrived. I love how thin and light it is! Installing it now. I got the case with the keyboard: it’s actually heavier than the iPad itself! I’ll need to get a very light protective case.
  22. Ilya

    Apple Event - May 7, 2024 (New iPads!)

    Early afternoon is when the UPS van is usually here. That’s probably when I should expect it.
  23. Ilya

    Apple Event - May 7, 2024 (New iPads!)

    Out for delivery… :hungry2
  24. Ilya

    Robotaxi- Thoughts on the concept.

    Possible RoboTaxi / 2 door compact camera testing?
  25. Ilya

    Tesla company news and TSLA stock

    As you wish.
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