I have watched the "root kit" company come to the party late, and with an inferior product. I watched them push single layer BDs with less than pristine PQ, using an inferior codec. I watched the first Blu-ray player deliver "soft" images due to poor decisions made in design, and a lack of product review before release. I watched as HD-DVD incorporated interactivity from the beginning, and Blu-ray isn't there yet. I watched them put products on the market with no ethernet connection to simplify firmware updates and allow extra features. I watched as their most cost effective player was a game console. I watched as they announced that new features would be mandatory as of 10/31/07, with no assurance current players could be retrofitted with the new features and full compatibility. Indeed, some authors doubt that these new features can be done in software alone with no additional hardware.
And yet Blu-ray
still outsells HD-DVD by over two (some say three) to one.
Why? Greater capacity? Maybe that's part of it. Better marketing? That's probably part of it- but think how much more logical to the casual buyer the term "HD-DVD" is, compared to "Blu-ray." Blue what? What's that? But an HD version of a DVD is pretty self explanatory.
People don't buy players for the sake of the player. Well, most of us don't. They buy a tool to watch a movie. And at these prices, it's not a casual buy, so the potential buyer is likely to do at least a little research. And that's when they discover that 5 out of the major 8 studios are Blu-ray exclusive, and only one, probably the one with the weakest catalog, is HD-DVD exclusive. Frankly, that buyer-to-be probably looks no further than to see that Disney, and all their subsidiaries, are available exclusively on Blu-ray. Joe Six Pack is not interested in hearing that he can maybe buy an imported Disney movie on HD-DVD from Europe, or online, or from some guy on the corner. He sees a rack of movies in the store, where he's most likely to buy or rent.
So why aren't the studios supporting both?
1. Economically, it makes more sense for there to be only one format to produce, stock, etc.
2. Blu-ray has greater capacity and room for future growth. There's already a 2 movies on one disc release.
3. Blu-ray has more security- watermarking and the upcoming BD+. We'll see if this works out.
4. Blu-ray has regional encoding, to further help protect studio profits. Ask Disney about this.
5. Costs are comparable to the consumer. Yes, they are. Never mind theory/wishes.
Studios will act in their own self interest. And it seems that, for better or worse, most of them have chosen Blu-ray.
Stating that it's "not fair" that the studios don't produce in both formats is pointless. And I've seen the same folks that crow about Toshiba subsidizing their player, complain about Sony subsidizing disc production. Consistency?
I keep seeing that old argument that "HD-DVD is cheaper" keep rising it's ugly head. Guess what- it isn't. The fact that it costs more to build or retrofit a plant to produce Blu-ray than HD-DVD means little. Over the millions of discs to be produced over several years, the amortization comes out to less than a dollar at the consumer level. And there are arguments that the actual production of a BD is cheaper than an HD-DVD, under some circumstances. Whether that's true or not is uncertain- but the costs are so close as to be a minor factor. Certainly, amortizing the cost of the plant will make the BD more costly, but again, it seems to be less than a dollar at the retail level.
Note that with the Amazon sale, Blu-ray is (temporarily) much cheaper than HD-DVD ($29.80 to $40.40 as of 13:16 Central time today). So it is possible.
And as has been stated- cheap HD-DVD players will be joined very quickly by cheap Blu-ray players.
Bottom line- look around. In stores and online, you can find the prices of the two discs is about the same. And you can find comparably priced players in the two formats. Look at
eproductwars and see the rankings.
I don't like seeing Sony come out ahead. I simply don't trust them and likely never will. I will never forget their "root kit" and "stick the consumer" attitude. And some poor hardware they sold me. But it appears that Blu-ray is ahead, and has every likelihood of "winning" - at least insofar as there may be a winner. And the only consolation is that the higher current and future capacity may bring benefits.