I was browsing the SEC Edgar file on the Dish 2nd Quarter 10Q and stumbled onto this little gem.
Did a search of the document for any other references and there were none.
"On July 30, 2018, we did not provide notice to renew our lease for the capacity of Ciel II. Accordingly, our lease for the capacity of Ciel II will expire in January 2019 at the conclusion of the initial term. There can be no assurance that the expiration of our lease for capacity of Ciel II will not have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition or otherwise disrupt our business."
The 3rd quarter report repeated the cautionary note.
The 129W license expires January 29 so one would expect to see a renewal filing any day now since the earth station regulations specify a 90-30 day application notice before renewal.
If they go to a short term Ciel2 lease, they would likely be looking at doing a deal with Directv for space at 110W and 119W.
A quick look counting up empty transponders and considering their new E18 100+ spot beam satellite sitting in storage indicates that they could probably eliminate the need for 129W.
Interestingly; Directv has emptied out their 110W West (KU) transponders and have the channels on 119W (KU) in test mode on one of their KA satellites.
If Directv subleases their 110W and 119W transponders to Dish, they would eliminate the need for building two new satellites - probably approaching 1 billion dollars in reduced capital expenditures plus lease income.
And, they have sufficient excess capacity on their KA satellites to make the move permanent.