Yikes!!:yikes My bad. What I meant to say was analog would be off the air. I need to elaborate my posistion, when a station goes digital the equipment needed to do that provides that station with the ability to broadcast HD if they want to. Talk to any station engineer if you doubt me on this one. Station engineer I talked to works at WRAL in Raleigh, NC (I fix his personal tools). The first 24 hour high def OTA station in this country. Any feeds that they get from the parent company CBS or shows that were not shot in HD are upconverted on 5.1. This will be the way most of America will be viewing in 2010.
Right now all new shows are shot in HD. All sporting events shown OTA are in HD. About half the soaps are now in HD and most of the game shows are moving to HD. All news shows are in HD now. And here in Raleigh were are starting to see local advertising in HD.
So, tell me, after the switch, why would your station broadcast SD on new shows when the cost will be the same to broadcast those shows as they are being downloaded to you in HD?
Lets take a look at WRAZ/Fox here in Raleigh. 50.1 shows HD 60% of the time now. They upconvert the rest just like WRAL/CBS does. Heck, they even have some local HD advertisement now. On 50.2 they show the old SD shows. And on 50.3 they show weather and news.
I would expect that over 80% of the OTA market will be working this way by 2010. By that time when you replace a tv the new one will be an HDTV. That is all Costco, Sam's and BJ's are selling now. That is all Circuit City is selling now. I expect Best Buy to be there in 2008. The future in HD is happening right now, and with the prices coming down even more in 2008 for smaller HDTVs (You can buy a 24" HDTV LCD for $300 now) those SD sets will probably not see the end of the year in 2008.
Sorry for my miscue and I hope this more fully explains the point that I was trying to make.
