A couple of clarifications related to satellite capacity/capability. First, the Rainbow-1 satellite has 130 spotbeam TPs. Using MPEG-4 this would give Dish the capacity to provide 780 HD LILs channels at 6 HD channels/TP. The 6 HD channels/TP with MPEG-4 may in fact be conservative. Dish may not be able to use all 130 from 61.5 W since some of the spotbeams are for the west coast and have poor look angles but even if they could only use 100, this is still 600 HD LILs channels. There has been some rumors that Dish may be able to move Rainbow-1 to another location such as 110 W or 129 W and still use the spotbeam capabilities but again this is only a rumor and I believe highly unlikely.
Dish plans to launch the Echostar-10 (E-10) satellite in early 2006 supposedly to 110 W. E-10 is a spotbeam/CONUS satellite and it has been speculated that it has similar spotbeam capacity as Rainbow-1. If E-10 goes to 110 W, this may free up both E-6 and E-8 to be moved to other DBS slots.
A couple of other things. Dish does not have a satellite at 148 W with spotbeam capability. Dish has applied to the FCC to move AMC-16 to 118.7 W for use of Ku band. Dish has a lease agreement with TeleSat for the Anik F3 satellite at 118.7 W but that satellite won't be launched until the 3rd quarter of 2006 at the earliest. By the way, I believe a modified Superdish could be used to receive 110, 119, 118.7 (or 121) and 129. AMC-16 is suppose to go back to 85 W after the Anik F3 satellite is launched. Dish has licenses for Ka band at some other slots including 117 W and 113 W so Dish may want to request to have AMC-16 moved to one of these locations since it has Ka band spotbeam capability as does AMC-15 at 105 W and E-9 at 121 W. In addition, Dish has license to extended Ku band at 109 W and AMC-16 might be able to provide some extended Ku band similar to AMC-6 that SES Americom is trying to get FCC approval to use.
I mentioned Superdish above because the DirecTV dish that will be required to receive HD LILs from the Speceway/Ka band satellites appears to be a bit larger than a Superdish so Dish can use some of their regular Ku band capability for HD LILs and still compete with DirecTV related to dish size.
Dish also is scheduled to launch E-11 in early 2007 although no details regarding its capabilities has been published. In addition, Dish also has a lease agreement with SES Americom for AMC-14 another DBS satellite (no spotbeams). AMC-14 was scheduled to be launched in early 2006 to 105.5 W, a DBS tweener slot but the FCC has not approved DBS tweener slots. There is the possiblity that Dish may have use of this satellite for other licensed slots if the 105.5 W slot is not approved. One location would be the 77 W slot that Dish has applied for use in the U.S.
To state that Dish will not be able to compete with DirecTV in the next year or two because of the lack of satellite capacity is completely false. One of the things that Dish has done exceptionally well over the past year and a half is to acquire access to satellite capacity.