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Special Report: 2005 Predictions
EchoStar Will Seek a Partner
The gutsy satcaster needs help to keep pace with top
dog DIRECTV.
By Phillip Swann
Editor's Note: Phillip Swann, president of TVPredictions.com, is
making 40 predictions for new TV technology in 2005. A new
prediction will be published every weekday at TV Predictions
for the rest of 2004, except for Thanksgiving and Christmas. Click
Predictions to see a list of his 2005 forecasts to date.
Washington, D.C. (December 1) -- I predict that EchoStar, the nation's
second largest satellite TV service, will either sell the company or enter into
a major partnership in 2005. In fact, you can put this one in the bank.
EchoStar, which is run by maverick Charlie Ergen, has been an inspiring
success story over the last several years. Despite being outspent by
DIRECTV, EchoStar's Dish Network has piled up more than 10 million
subscribers. And, in its third quarter report, released last month, the
company said that profits had tripled.
So, why would EchoStar have to sell the company or partner with another
organization with deeper pockets?
Two words: Rupert Murdoch.
Murdoch, whose News Corp. now owns DIRECTV, the nation's top satcaster,
appears willing to spend an unlimited amount of money to acquire new
subscribers. DIRECTV recently announced that it will launch four new
satellites over the next three years, enabling it to offer up to 150 national
High-Definition TV channels by 2007.
Despite Ergen's pluck, EchoStar can no longer compete against a company
with Murdoch's money, not to mention his vast holdings, which include the
Fox Network and Fox Studios. EchoStar will soon be at risk of losing
subscribers to DIRECTV, rather than gaining new ones.
Consequently, I believe that Ergen will look for the best possible deal. He
may not sell the company outright, but he will at least find a well-financed
partner who shares his vision and/or would like to keep Murdoch and News
Corp. from getting even bigger. Candidates would include such companies
as Disney, Sony and Viacom -- the usual suspects when media mergers are
contemplated. Cablevision, which owns the Voom satellite service (and its
coveted orbital slots), is another interesting possibility.
The merger (partnership) will be complicated for many reasons, particularly
Ergen's reputation for being difficult in negotiations. (EchoStar's proposed
merger with News Corp. was reportedly scrapped several years ago after a
shouting match between Ergen and a top News executive.) However, I predict
that Ergen will keep his eye on the prize and make the deal.
Phillip Swann is President & Publisher of TVPredictions.com. If you
would like to contact Mr. Swann, he can be reached at 703-505-3064
or at Swann@TVPredictions.com. And come back every weekday
for a new prediction for 2005!
Click News to see more of today's developments in new TV technology.
And don't miss our next exclusive story! Sign up today for
'Swanni Sez' -- the TV Predictions e-mail newsletter!
http://www.tvpredictions.com/echostar120104.html
EchoStar Will Seek a Partner
The gutsy satcaster needs help to keep pace with top
dog DIRECTV.
By Phillip Swann
Editor's Note: Phillip Swann, president of TVPredictions.com, is
making 40 predictions for new TV technology in 2005. A new
prediction will be published every weekday at TV Predictions
for the rest of 2004, except for Thanksgiving and Christmas. Click
Predictions to see a list of his 2005 forecasts to date.
Washington, D.C. (December 1) -- I predict that EchoStar, the nation's
second largest satellite TV service, will either sell the company or enter into
a major partnership in 2005. In fact, you can put this one in the bank.
EchoStar, which is run by maverick Charlie Ergen, has been an inspiring
success story over the last several years. Despite being outspent by
DIRECTV, EchoStar's Dish Network has piled up more than 10 million
subscribers. And, in its third quarter report, released last month, the
company said that profits had tripled.
So, why would EchoStar have to sell the company or partner with another
organization with deeper pockets?
Two words: Rupert Murdoch.
Murdoch, whose News Corp. now owns DIRECTV, the nation's top satcaster,
appears willing to spend an unlimited amount of money to acquire new
subscribers. DIRECTV recently announced that it will launch four new
satellites over the next three years, enabling it to offer up to 150 national
High-Definition TV channels by 2007.
Despite Ergen's pluck, EchoStar can no longer compete against a company
with Murdoch's money, not to mention his vast holdings, which include the
Fox Network and Fox Studios. EchoStar will soon be at risk of losing
subscribers to DIRECTV, rather than gaining new ones.
Consequently, I believe that Ergen will look for the best possible deal. He
may not sell the company outright, but he will at least find a well-financed
partner who shares his vision and/or would like to keep Murdoch and News
Corp. from getting even bigger. Candidates would include such companies
as Disney, Sony and Viacom -- the usual suspects when media mergers are
contemplated. Cablevision, which owns the Voom satellite service (and its
coveted orbital slots), is another interesting possibility.
The merger (partnership) will be complicated for many reasons, particularly
Ergen's reputation for being difficult in negotiations. (EchoStar's proposed
merger with News Corp. was reportedly scrapped several years ago after a
shouting match between Ergen and a top News executive.) However, I predict
that Ergen will keep his eye on the prize and make the deal.
Phillip Swann is President & Publisher of TVPredictions.com. If you
would like to contact Mr. Swann, he can be reached at 703-505-3064
or at Swann@TVPredictions.com. And come back every weekday
for a new prediction for 2005!
Click News to see more of today's developments in new TV technology.
And don't miss our next exclusive story! Sign up today for
'Swanni Sez' -- the TV Predictions e-mail newsletter!
http://www.tvpredictions.com/echostar120104.html
23 Replies
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5118 views
But who do you think tells the lawyers what to negotiate for? Ed Whitacre (SBC's CEO) might not know unless he had someone like Charlie on board to tell him what to ask for, and not to ask for (see the Viacom debacle).rad said:I would think it would be a lot cheaper to hire a lawyer to negotiate then to buy a company
And if you reread my post I said that SBC had microsoft for their delivery system, didn't say anything about programming.
Besides, it's still not certain the cable networks would talk with any SBC lawyer unless Federal law says they have to, as is the case with E*. The Baby Bells are cable's biggest competitor in broadband; why would cable execs want to help out the competition? That's just the kind of conflict of interest that inspired the 1992 Cable Act's protections for satellite.
And I did NOT misread your post. My point was, a Microsoft delivery system would NOT help SBC in obtaining programming rights; owning E* would.
Well, I was talking about software, not hardware. But even then, I can refute the statement in at least one market segment and timeframe. Amdahl, (the original "clone' boxesStryf3 said:
) circa 1978-1988. Of course, 'clone' might not be the right word considering that Dr. A was the chief architect on the IBM mainframes before he struck out on his own.
Staff member
HERE TO HELP YOU!
Cutting Edge
Sometimes a thread gets so many posts in it that is can cause issues for the server so that why today we introduce The Song Name Game Part 3!
So let the game continue!
The last song was added by Bobby who posted...
One Meat Ball - Andrews Sisters
CONTINUE ON AND HAVE FUN! WELCOME HOME TO SATELLITEGUYS.US!
Here are the original rules for the game as posted by WebbyDude back in 2006. http://www.satelliteguys.us/threads/68645-Song-Name-Game
Just name a song title and the band who performed it. The next person does the same thing, but needs to list a song title or band name which includes a word from the previous entry. Pick songs from any genre.
Example:
Long Live Rock and Roll -- Rainbow
Rainbow in the Dark -- Dio
Another example:
Ride the Lightning -- Metallica
Lightning Strikes -- Ozzy Osbourne
Get it?
An additional note: we all know that song titles, sometimes, use profane words. Because this is a family friendly website it is advised that you clean up that title up a bit. This is accomplished by using something like sh!t instead of the real word. Thanks....
So let the game continue!
The last song was added by Bobby who posted...
One Meat Ball - Andrews Sisters
CONTINUE ON AND HAVE FUN! WELCOME HOME TO SATELLITEGUYS.US!
Here are the original rules for the game as posted by WebbyDude back in 2006. http://www.satelliteguys.us/threads/68645-Song-Name-Game
Just name a song title and the band who performed it. The next person does the same thing, but needs to list a song title or band name which includes a word from the previous entry. Pick songs from any genre.
Example:
Long Live Rock and Roll -- Rainbow
Rainbow in the Dark -- Dio
Another example:
Ride the Lightning -- Metallica
Lightning Strikes -- Ozzy Osbourne
Get it?
An additional note: we all know that song titles, sometimes, use profane words. Because this is a family friendly website it is advised that you clean up that title up a bit. This is accomplished by using something like sh!t instead of the real word. Thanks....
68650 Replies
·
2680005 views
Marques Brownlee
Time for another AWESOME video from Marques Brownlee!
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2reQut8WNGc
Direct YouTube Link - Macbook PROLED XDR Impressions: They Said They Wouldn't!
The official MKBHD Website!
The MKBHD Store
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2reQut8WNGc
Direct YouTube Link - Macbook PROLED XDR Impressions: They Said They Wouldn't!
The official MKBHD Website!
The MKBHD Store
0 Replies
·
11 views
iJustine
Time for another AWESOME video from iJustine!
View: https://www.youtube.com/shorts/Duq4hKmUE4c
Direct YouTube Link - MacBoo PROLED - What You Need To Know!
The official iJustine Website's Website
Buy her book!
View: https://www.youtube.com/shorts/Duq4hKmUE4c
Direct YouTube Link - MacBoo PROLED - What You Need To Know!
The official iJustine Website's Website
Buy her book!
0 Replies
·
12 views
iJustine
Time for another AWESOME video from iJustine!
View: https://www.youtube.com/shorts/sgr5V8j7c5w
Direct YouTube Link - MacBook PROLED Nanotexture
The official iJustine Website's Website
Buy her book!
View: https://www.youtube.com/shorts/sgr5V8j7c5w
Direct YouTube Link - MacBook PROLED Nanotexture
The official iJustine Website's Website
Buy her book!
0 Replies
·
2 views
TWiT Tech Podcast Network
Time for another AWESOME video from the TWIT Network!
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TbfGWonQfys
Direct YouTube Link - Microsoft's New Round of Employee Buyouts
TWIT's Website
TWIT Live Feed
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TbfGWonQfys
Direct YouTube Link - Microsoft's New Round of Employee Buyouts
TWIT's Website
TWIT Live Feed
0 Replies
·
11 views
Linus Tech Tips
Time for another AWESOME video from Linus Tech Tips!
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7JOW7TTOGfI
Direct YouTube Link - Linus was Right - Apple (probably)
Linus on Facebook
The LTT Store
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7JOW7TTOGfI
Direct YouTube Link - Linus was Right - Apple (probably)
Linus on Facebook
The LTT Store
0 Replies
·
9 views
Pub Member / Supporter
Lifetime Supporter
1 Replies
·
29 views
Supporting Founder
Lifetime Supporter
I was reading this article
thehill.com
That said this-
Last summer, for the first time, streaming services like Netflix and Amazon Prime claimed the largest share of the television viewing audience, surpassing both cable and broadcast TV. Streaming captured 34.8 percent of July viewers, according to Nielsen data, compared to 34.4 percent for cable and 21.6 percent for broadcast.
And then, sometime in the second half of 2022, cord-cutters became the majority. The share of cable and satellite television subscribers dipped to 48 percent, according to a report from Samba TV, a television technology company.
Now I do not consider those with YTTV and the likes, Cord Cutters, but they still do not have Traditional Cable/Satellite delivered Live TV, so I decided to do the math.
There are, now, 129 Million Households in the United States.
In 2015, there were 100 Million Cable/Sat Subscribers , no streaming Live TV Service.
Today, there are 66 Million Live TV subscribers, including Cable, Satellite and Streaming.
Roughly, Streaming Live TV has 14 Million subs including all of them.
So that means, Cable/Satellite now has, roughly, 51 Million Households
So in just 8 years, lost 49% of their subscribers and by the end of this year, expected sub count to be, roughly, 45 million households.
That means a total loss of 55% since 2015 at the end of 2023.
But out of 129 Million households, 45 million will mean only 35% will get Cable/Satellite Delivered Live TV by the end of 2023.
Imagine what 2024 will be like.
Cable TV ‘cord-cutters’ became the majority in 2022
The steady decline of cable and broadcast television, and the rise of streaming services, reached a sort of inflection point over the past year. Last summer, for the first time, streaming ser…
thehill.com
That said this-
Last summer, for the first time, streaming services like Netflix and Amazon Prime claimed the largest share of the television viewing audience, surpassing both cable and broadcast TV. Streaming captured 34.8 percent of July viewers, according to Nielsen data, compared to 34.4 percent for cable and 21.6 percent for broadcast.
And then, sometime in the second half of 2022, cord-cutters became the majority. The share of cable and satellite television subscribers dipped to 48 percent, according to a report from Samba TV, a television technology company.
Now I do not consider those with YTTV and the likes, Cord Cutters, but they still do not have Traditional Cable/Satellite delivered Live TV, so I decided to do the math.
There are, now, 129 Million Households in the United States.
In 2015, there were 100 Million Cable/Sat Subscribers , no streaming Live TV Service.
Today, there are 66 Million Live TV subscribers, including Cable, Satellite and Streaming.
Roughly, Streaming Live TV has 14 Million subs including all of them.
So that means, Cable/Satellite now has, roughly, 51 Million Households
So in just 8 years, lost 49% of their subscribers and by the end of this year, expected sub count to be, roughly, 45 million households.
That means a total loss of 55% since 2015 at the end of 2023.
But out of 129 Million households, 45 million will mean only 35% will get Cable/Satellite Delivered Live TV by the end of 2023.
Imagine what 2024 will be like.
897 Replies
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72073 views
And again, 15 months in a row, streaming wins-
Cable and Broadcast added together-36.4%
Streaming with a massive 49.6%, 13.2% higher than Broadcast/Streaming.
Cable and Broadcast added together-36.4%
Streaming with a massive 49.6%, 13.2% higher than Broadcast/Streaming.
Supporting Founder
Really excited for this season with Kentucky having a new coach and some really exciting recruits. Probably won't last long, but here's hoping this season is great.
174 Replies
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2659 views
Does someone still have the diagram showing how to connect two Hopper 3s again?
I currently have one H3 and one 4K Joey, set up through a 1000.2 eastern arc hybrid lnb and solo hub.
The plan is to replace the Joey with the second H3. Already purchased a duo hub and I have three coax cables coming in from outside, from back when I used to have the older 1000.4 dish and the hopper 2. I don't fully remember, but I think the other two coax cables are just tied up next to the dish outside; will have to check again.
I currently have one H3 and one 4K Joey, set up through a 1000.2 eastern arc hybrid lnb and solo hub.
The plan is to replace the Joey with the second H3. Already purchased a duo hub and I have three coax cables coming in from outside, from back when I used to have the older 1000.4 dish and the hopper 2. I don't fully remember, but I think the other two coax cables are just tied up next to the dish outside; will have to check again.
26 Replies
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5711 views
