360 Elite validates Sony's hi-def focus – analyst

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"Microsoft will likely offer a Blu-ray drive with the Elite," says Pachter

Microsoft's release of the Xbox 360 Elite validates Sony's focus on capturing the early market for high-definition entertainment, according to Wedbush Morgan analyst Michael Pachter.

As the format holder continues to sign up more providers of downloadable content to Xbox Live Marketplace, the support for HDMI output is Microsoft's acknowledgement that the hi-def consumer is more important that it initially believed.

"Microsoft's move is an endorsement of high-definition output, and its inclusion of HDMI validates that Sony's initial strategy was correct," said Pachter, speaking exclusively to GamesIndustry.biz.

"The 120 GB hard-drive is focused on helping the roll-out of IPTV, and I expect a progression of HDTV broadcast from the current 720p to the 1080p standard over the next few years, so the HDMI output will be relevant."


"On balance, this is a very smart move by Microsoft, but it appears to validate Sony's strategy, and serves as an acknowledgement that HD content matters," he commented.

For Pachter, the Xbox 360 Elite is stepping closer to the functionality of the PlayStation 3, but instead of offering an all-in-one package, Microsoft is giving the consumers a choice to upgrade their current console or buy the individual components relevant to their needs.

"Microsoft has made a bold move here in order to capture additional market share. They have essentially offered consumers the opportunity to replicate the performance of a PS3 by purchasing the 360 Elite plus an external HD-DVD drive," he offered.

"The value proposition is fair, and it places the two companies on similar footing."

The fact that Microsoft is not offering the external HD-DVD drive as part of the new Elite bundle may be an indication that it believes Blu-ray will eventually win the hi-definition format wars.

"It appears to me that Microsoft sees the writing on the wall – Blu-ray is going to win the format wars," he said.

"Ultimately, Microsoft will likely offer a Blu-ray drive with the 360 Elite, and I think consumers will be able to select based solely upon other drivers."

Pachter also believes that although the Xbox 360 Elite will register with early adopters of hi-def content, the current 20GB model will still be sufficient for many consumers.

"I'm hopeful that Microsoft does not phase out the 20GB model," he said.

"I continue to believe that most consumers will be perfectly happy with that SKU, and those with 720p TVs should be very happy with the performance of the current 360."

A price drop of the Premium console would also not be out of the question, said Pachter, giving Microsoft an advantage over Sony at retail.

"Microsoft is in a good position to lower the price of the USD 399 version, and it would give them a big competitive advantage to do so."

"In the final analysis, I would be surprised if they eliminated this SKU, and would consider it a mistake if they were to do so," he conclud

http://www.gamesindustry.biz/content_page.php?aid=23840
 
I believe it was surely a mistake not offering the HD-DVD integrated into the unit. That would have made it worth it in my opinion but I wouldn't pay an extra 80+ bucks for an HDMI format when the games themselves are not run on anything more than 720p.

This is a red headed step child.
 
Most next-gen games are only 720p. While PS2 and Xbox were capable of higher resolutions, very few titles used those resolutions (even 480p wasn't often used). While I expect a great deal more games to come out in 1080p for the PS3, it seems unlikely that ALL of them will given that developers may choose 720p to minimize the use of system resources and maximize effects, draw distances, texture caches and more. Being that it still looks great, and that many people only have 720p sets, it doesn't seem likely that devs will look at 1080p as a primary focus. But hey, I could be wrong... Anyone care to interject?

Although, I do agree with the article about the movie format... As much as I wanted HD-DVD to win, it looks as if it may have been the wise decision to not integrate considering the wave of BD consumers lately. If MS wanted to create a BD drive, would they be able to? Would they have to answer to Sony to do so?
Also, could MS make a dual-format add-on? They already have the software down for HD-DVD, maybe they could tweak the laser and write code for a BD player?
 
Change the lens & a bit of code and they'd be there. Same laser in both. Similar compression algorithms.
 
Sony is associated with many studios..and its only because of Sony BR got this far...and im sure sony will not let M$ get BR...
Trust me on this...Sony is pretty much BR...

I dubt M$ would want to spend extra money to put a BR drive on this and it won't sell as good as the first system came out...it be a huge mistake from microsoft well from a marketing point of view..its more like self destructing themselve..
The elite would be then 800$ if you do the math correcly..and im sure not many families would want to spend that amount of money just to have a BR player built in on an xbot when they have a ps3 that they can buy for 500-600$.
Also pretty much most games that are on the 360 are coming out for the ps3 sooner or later, to me it looks like sony has more exclusives that m$...
even when sony is losing few exclusives here and there...that won't be a factor..
 
IF HD-DVD fails in this country, would there be any particular reason for Microsoft to add a Blu-ray player onto the Xbox 360? As a movie player? Would any software will come out for that box that requires the storage?


I guess if MS wants the Home Entertainment Center to be built around the Xbox360, they'd put one out. But no sooner than absolutely necessary.
 
M$ is only interested in downloadable content - period. The longer the format war goes on the more time M$ has in developing VC-1 to use to download HD content. The only thing that will slow M$ down is that the internet is very slow to change in the USA. Most people are lucky to have 1.5 DSL as more and more people move out of the city into the countryside. M$ has said before that they would provide a BD player if that format ended up being the only HD format available. We shall see?