I think he's wrong about an end to the war. Whatever company gets both a burner and player out there first will probably win. Blu ray already has the burner. I havent seen the HD DVD burner yet. IMO, the ability to burn your own movies will dictate the winner. Of course that will mean ripping software as well. So it may take a year or so to develop. This whole thing is much bigger than merely playing a Commercial disk in a player. The company that realizes that will win. Otherwise it will grow at a snails pace.
I dont know. Burner is one thing. Cost of burnable discs are the real issue. What good is BluRay if the blank discs cost 10 bucks if HD DVD can make them available for 5. I dont know the real numbers but I think retail price is gonna help one format.