What makes this one "one of my good contacts"?
Can you give us "just one" example that one of your contacts ever got it right?
Scott's contacts have been right plenty of times. When they have been wrong, they have been over optimistic, and I understand why.
They are probably Dish employees or partners who want to see Dish succeed, so they want to believe that more HD is coming "soon". That's to be expected.
At times I have heard things from contacts in other industries that err the same way. They want to believe, they want their companies programming or products to be associated with Dish, so they are less cynical than some of us are.
Don't blame Scott.