The NY RSN's mean nothing to DISH, you are just wrong on that. DISH knows how many potential subscribers they could have, it isn't even in the ballpark of 8 million. Millions live in apartments with cable pre wired, some include basic cable. You can't think DISH didn't look closely at how many subscribers they could reasonably have compared to the cost of about the most expensive, and numerous RSN's in a market. The impact has to be negligible to the number of subscribers. For the reasons given above, I'm not so certain not being in HD all day is a big impact. However when some pro games are not in HD, much more rare now, that will have an impact on those who do watch their teams. In fact though less viewers it doesn't help when college games are not in HD.
ESPN, yes they are expensive, but they are watched FAR more than a local RSN, they do have programming many times during the day, much more programming than just the games they broadcast. Comparing a regional RSN with virtually no breaking news, little to no probing investigations, actually almost no anything but a game or maybe two a day, a sports show and some college sports on weekends to ESPN doesn't add up. ESPN is a ratings leader.
ESPN is facing hard times however, and is likely to feel the reality that they can not keep signing huge costing contracts anymore and just pass the cost along to the consumer. Sneaking up on them is Fox Sports 1, unknown to me till recently they are close in daytime viewers now. The politics of ESPN may be playing a part in that.
Not carrying any RSN's would certainly be risky, unless they were considerably less expensive than anyone else no matter what package or equipment you have. What if they carried all channels in HD that are available in HD also. There are many who would pay considerablly less to get all HD and not have their RSN. In fact DISH could see an overall increase in viewers under that scenario. Risky yes, but not out of the question.
There are other alternatives to an RSN depending on the viewer. I would have no problem getting MLB online if there were no RSN and I would not miss too much of anything I watch on it now. Remember the times when the most people are watching are the times the RSN isn't carrying the games!
Directv has about 6,000 more US viewers, some good portion of that is for NFL Sunday ticket not so much because they carry a few more RSN's or even that they are in HD all the time.
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