MLB Magic Numbers and Eliminations

[BillD1984]

With only 24 days until the end of the regular season, magic number talk has commenced.

Here are the up to date MN's, as well as teams mathematically eliminated from postseason consideration:

American League
Yankees: division MN-25...........playoff berth MN-16
Tigers: division MN- 19
Rangers: division MN- 20
Red Sox: playoff berth MN- 16

AL teams eliminated: Orioles


National League
Phillies: division MN- 18.........playoff berth MN- 10
Brewers: division MN- 15
Diamondbacks: division MN- 17
Braves: playoff berth MN- 17

NL teams eliminated: Astros

 

[Jimbo]

Excellent !

However, I find it odd that only 2 teams in all are eliminated.

 

[BillD1984]

Excellent !

However, I find it odd that only 2 teams in all are eliminated.

Same here Jimbo, but there are several teams on the cusp of elimination.

 

[fhsucade07]

Same here Jimbo, but there are several teams on the cusp of elimination.

As a Toronto fan, I can unfortunately say the Jays are one of them.

 

[Will94]

From a different perspective.

Ultimate Astros » Astros take 10-game lead, tragic number dwindles to 15

And you thought the Astros wouldn’t have anything to play for in September! At a time when many baseball fans are tuning up for the stretch run — and others are turning their attention to football — the Astros are sprinting to a (ahem) promising September finish of their own.

With a bit more than three weeks left in a disastrous 2011 season, the Astros tragic number is 15 on this Labor Day. Any combination of 15 Astros’ losses and Baltimore wins will clinch the #1 pick for Houston in next June’s amateur draft.

But that tragic number may also be the Astros’ magic number, especially if you consider the #1 pick somewhat of a prize. Heading into the stretch run, the Astros hold a 10-game lead on Baltimore in the race for that first pick. Kansas City (11.5) and Seattle and Minnesota (both 12.5 GB) are also battling for the runnerup spot.

 

[AntAltMike]

From a different perspective.

Ultimate Astros » Astros take 10-game lead, tragic number dwindles to 15

Could be worse. If MLB had a draft lottery like the NBA, they could wind up with the baseball equivalent of Keith Van Horn or Chauncey Billups instead of Tim Duncan.

 

[Jimbo]

Tigers should now be 18 going into Mondays game.

 

[BillD1984]

Tigers should now be 18 going into Mondays game.

Right you are, Jimbo. Updated MN's going into today:

American League
Yankees: division MN- 23.......playoff berth MN- 15
Tigers: division MN-18
Rangers: division MN- 19
Red Sox: playoff berth MN- 16

National League
Phillies: division MN- 18.........playoff berth MN- 9
Brewers: division MN- 13
Diamondbacks: division MN- 16
Braves: playoff berth MN- 15

 

[Jimbo]

Bill,
Are you going to update this daily ?

I give you the Popcorn so you have something to munch on and the coffee so you can stay awake waiting for these games to end.

Thank you !

 

[BillD1984]

Bill,
Are you going to update this daily ?

I give you the Popcorn so you have something to munch on and the coffee so you can stay awake waiting for these games to end.

Thank you !

LOL............yeah, I'll try to update them daily, and make a note if it doesn't include a late game.

BTW, I'm a diet pespi guy.

 

[Jimbo]

Tigers Magic Number now stands at 16 after a 4-2 win over the Indians.

Tigers are now up in the AL Central by 7.5 games.

 

[BillD1984]

Tigers Magic Number now stands at 16 after a 4-2 win over the Indians.

Tigers are now up in the AL Central by 7.5 games.

Over/under Sept. 15 as the Tigers clinching date?

 

[satjay]

Over/under Sept. 15 as the Tigers clinching date?

That would be nice, I still have memories of 09 when they had about the same lead and lost it to the twins

Sent from my iPhone using SatelliteGuys!!

 

[BillD1984]

Two teams could be ME (mathematically eliminated) by the end of the day: the Royals and Cubs

 

[Jimbo]

Over/under Sept. 15 as the Tigers clinching date?

I think it will be slightly later than that.
It would seem unreal for the Tigers to ever clinch something EARLY.

That said, the earlier the better, this way we don't have any pitching issues, such as having to run Verlander out there to get in and not be able to pitch game 1

 

[BillD1984]

I think it will be slightly later than that.
It would seem unreal for the Tigers to ever clinch something EARLY.

That said, the earlier the better, this way we don't have any pitching issues, such as having to run Verlander out there to get in and not be able to pitch game 1

I agree it will be somewhat later than that (around the 20th?), but the Tigers are currently trending towards an earlier clinching.

 

[Jimbo]

I agree it will be somewhat later than that (around the 20th?), but the Tigers are currently trending towards an earlier clinching.

The way I see it the Tigers would have to win the next 8games to make Sept. 15th, don't see that happening, could happen, but doubt it.


Tigers remaining schedule:

SEPTEMBER OPPONENT TIME (ET) TV DET PITCHER OPP. PITCHER TRAVEL
Tue, Sep 6

@
Cleveland

7:05 PM Porcello (12-8) Carmona (6-13) StubHub
Wed, Sep 7

@
Cleveland

12:05 PM Verlander (21-5) Masterson (11-8) StubHub
Fri, Sep 9

vs
Minnesota

7:05 PM Penny (9-10) Slowey (0-4) StubHub
Sat, Sep 10

vs
Minnesota

4:10 PM Scherzer (14-8) Swarzak (3-6) StubHub
Sun, Sep 11

vs
Minnesota

1:05 PM Fister (7-13) Diamond (1-2) StubHub
Mon, Sep 12
@
White Sox

8:10 PM StubHub
Tue, Sep 13
@
White Sox

8:10 PM StubHub
Wed, Sep 14
@
White Sox

2:10 PM StubHub
Thu, Sep 15
@
Oakland

10:05 PM StubHub
Fri, Sep 16
@
Oakland

10:05 PM StubHub
Sat, Sep 17
@
Oakland

4:05 PM StubHub
Sun, Sep 18
@
Oakland

4:05 PM StubHub
Tue, Sep 20
@
Kansas City

8:10 PM StubHub
Wed, Sep 21
@
Kansas City

8:10 PM StubHub
Thu, Sep 22
vs
Baltimore

7:05 PM StubHub
Fri, Sep 23
vs
Baltimore

7:05 PM StubHub
Sat, Sep 24
vs
Baltimore

7:05 PM StubHub
Sun, Sep 25
vs
Baltimore
1:05 PM StubHub
Mon, Sep 26
vs
Cleveland

7:05 PM StubHub
Tue, Sep 27
vs
Cleveland

7:05 PM StubHub
Wed, Sep 28
vs
Cleveland

7:05 PM StubHub

I see formatting is poor again.

 

[BillD1984]

Yankees win, Red Sox lose...............Yanks division MN is down to 21 and playoff berth MN is now 14, meanwhile the Sox playoff berth MN is still 16.

 

[Jimbo]

I could see the Tigers going 14-7 the rest of the way.

 

[SabresRule]

I'm a diet pespi guy.

Stay thirsty, my friend