2007 MLB Team Wins Prediction

[Sean Mota]

Mike and the Mad Dog had a prediction of wins per MLB Team in 2007. How is your prediction.

Legend: Team/Wins/Prediction

Devil Rays 67 Around this number
Orioles 73.5 Under
Blue Jays 87 Too Tough to decide
Red Sox 90.5 Over
Yankees 97 Over

Indians 86.5 Too Tough to decide
Tigers 88.5 Under
Twins 83.5 Over (an automatic)
White Sox 89 Too Tough to decide
Royals 66.5 Could not care

A's 85.5 Too Tough to decide
Rangers 80.5 Over
Angesl 90.5 Too Tough to decide
M's 78.5 Could not care

Mets 90.5 Over
Phillies 88.5 Too Tough to decide
Marlins 78 Under (Best Bet and Dantrell will be traded by 7/31/07)
Braves 83 Over
Nationals 68 Under

St. Louis 84.5 Too Tough to decide
Cubs 83.5 Under
Reds 76.5 Under (an automatic)
Pirates 71.5 Over
Astros 78.5 Too Tough to decide
Brewers 80.5 Too Tough to decide

Rockies 71 Could not care
Giants 81 over
Padres 83.5 Too tough to decide
Diamondbacks 78.5 Could not care
Dodgers 88.5 Too tough to decide.

These are based more or less on the number of wins per team last year and how they looked at each strength and weakness.

 

[webbydude]

Damn it. They put the Indians in first place. Talk about the kiss of death for the Tribe. LOL

 

[Jimbo]

If that is the case, how is it that the Detroit Tigers drastically improved thier offense with the addn. of Sheffield, but they are picked to win at least 5 less ?

How do you (Mike) figure that the Yanks will win OVER 97 games when they have yet to find a STARTING ROTATION !!!!!

Jimbo

 

[DetFan]

Simple answer to both questions..

Tigers still get no respect because most still think it was a fluke. I say the whole league is about to find out how much of a fluke it was not!!!!

The answer to the Tanks er Yanks, is well they have to be Yankee fans, because anyone who knows baseball knows that team has big time pitching issues. 97 wins in the east????

I dont pick wins, but I will give predictions by division winners
AL

Boston
Detroit
Anahiem or Texas toos up..The west sucks still.
Wild Card Cleveland


NL
Philly
St.Louis(Central sucks) but watch out for hte Pirates
San Diego(watch the Rockies)
Wild Card Mets

 

[Ramy]

Reds 76.5 Under (an automatic)

What do you mean an automatic? The have the best record in Spring Training. I know, I know, that doesn't mean alot, well it means something.

 

[Jimbo]

I wish I could find the Vegas odds, I just heard them yesterday, but don't know how to find them.

Jimbo

 

[boston area dtv]

What do you mean an automatic? The have the best record in Spring Training. I know, I know, that doesn't mean alot, well it means something.

Actually spring training results mean absolutely nothing in the relationship of wins or losses in the regular season.

KC was 17 and 10 a year ago and Cincy had the best spring training record last year too.

Here are the results from 2006 spring training.
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlbhist/standings/spring?type=loc&year=2006



2006 Cactus League Spring Standings
CACTUS W L PCT GB
LA Angels 20 11 .645 -
San Diego 18 10 .643 1
Kansas City 17 10 .630 1
Colorado 17 12 .586 2
Arizona 18 14 .563 3
Chicago Cubs 15 14 .517 4
Oakland 15 17 .469 6
Milwaukee 14 17 .452 6
San Francisco 13 17 .433 7
Texas 12 16 .429 7
Seattle 11 17 .393 8
Chicago Sox 10 19 .345 9
2006 Grapefruit League Spring Standings
GRAPEFRUIT W L PCT GB
Cincinnati 22 11 .667 -
Florida 19 9 .679 1
Philadelphia 19 11 .633 2
Cleveland 20 12 .625 2
Minnesota 20 12 .625 2
Detroit 18 15 .545 4
NY Mets 16 14 .533 5
St. Louis 15 14 .517 5
LA Dodgers 15 14 .517 5
NY Yankees 15 16 .484 6
Pittsburgh 15 17 .469 7
Tampa Bay 13 16 .448 7
Baltimore 13 17 .433 8
Toronto 12 18 .400 9
Atlanta 11 18 .379 9
Houston 11 19 .367 10
Boston 9 20 .310 11
Washington 9 23 .281 13

- Split-squad games count in standings; ties and games against non-Major League opponents do not.
- Standings are updated with the completion of each game.

 

[iceturkee]

okat, i'll go out on a limb......i say the reds finish at least at .500!!

 

[mdonnelly]

I'm a Padres fan, but without Bochy this year, I expect them to finish behind the Dodgers, and miss the playoffs.

On the other hand, I expect the Rangers to be better without Buck Showalter, and contend with the Angels. My guess is a wildcard.

 

[salsadancer7]

I am gonna round my preditions too:

National East

Mets 90
Phillies 85
Marlins 85
Braves 80
D.C. 75


National Central

Cardinals 90
Cubs 85
Reds 85
Astros 83
Pirates 83(they will improve, but not by THAT much)

National West

Dodgers 87
Giants 85
Padres 85
Rockies 80



American East

Red Sox 94
Yankees 90
Blue Jays 90
Orioles 80
Rays 75

American Central

Tigers 94
White Sox 90
Indians 87
Twins 87
Royals 75

American West

Angels 90
Rangers 85
A's 85
Mariners 78

And the World Series is a complete crap shoot.

 

[Ramy]

Actually spring training results mean absolutely nothing in the relationship of wins or losses in the regular season.

KC was 17 and 10 a year ago and Cincy had the best spring training record last year too.

Here are the results from 2006 spring training.
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlbhist/standings/spring?type=loc&year=2006

2006 Grapefruit League Spring Standings
GRAPEFRUIT W L PCT GB
Cincinnati 22 11 .667 -
Florida 19 9 .679 1
Philadelphia 19 11 .633 2
Cleveland 20 12 .625 2
Minnesota 20 12 .625 2
Detroit 18 15 .545 4
NY Mets 16 14 .533 5
St. Louis 15 14 .517 5
LA Dodgers 15 14 .517 5
NY Yankees 15 16 .484 6
Pittsburgh 15 17 .469 7
Tampa Bay 13 16 .448 7
Baltimore 13 17 .433 8
Toronto 12 18 .400 9
Atlanta 11 18 .379 9
Houston 11 19 .367 10
Boston 9 20 .310 11
Washington 9 23 .281 13

- Split-squad games count in standings; ties and games against non-Major League opponents do not.
- Standings are updated with the completion of each game.

Yeah and they contended for the division the whole season. They were predicted to finish dead last.

 

[Sean Mota]

What do you mean an automatic? The have the best record in Spring Training. I know, I know, that doesn't mean alot, well it means something.

An automatic means (according to them) that it you could bet blindly on the prediction. They said the Reds will be under those amount of wins; the bold prediction came from the Marlins. They said that the Marlins will be underachievers this year and Dontrell Willis will be traded by 7/31/07. They also said that the Twins had shown such a historical record of winning every year that it was impossible to count them out. Every year they picked them to lose yet the Twins found a way to win the Division or be the Wild Card team.

 

[FlyingJ]

I'm gonna be conservative here and say my Phillies win 162!

 

[Sean Mota]

If that is the case, how is it that the Detroit Tigers drastically improved thier offense with the addn. of Sheffield, but they are picked to win at least 5 less ?

How do you (Mike) figure that the Yanks will win OVER 97 games when they have yet to find a STARTING ROTATION !!!!!

Jimbo

DetFans, said it very well. To MLB the Detroit Tigers were a fluke last year. The pressure of repeating for a second year in a row is on and accordingly they do not think Detroit can handle it. The Detroit Tigers have to repeat this year in order for them not look like a fluke in 2006. So the pressure is on.

The Yankees won 97 games last year with less than stellar rotation.

Last Year Rotation

Randy Johnson
Mike Mussina
Chie Ming Wang
Jarret Right
I do not remember the fifth starterd but it does not matter.

2007 Rotation

Chie Ming Wang
Mike Mussina
Andy Pettite
Carl Pavano

by subtracting Randy Johnson and Jarret Right... Two guys who could not last 5 innings on the mound and put so much pressure on the bullpen and replacing them with Andy Pettite and Carl Pavano, they have improve the starting rotation. So in 2007 the Starting Rotation is much better. BTW, the Yankees could have won 99 games last year but after winning 97 the last two games of the season meant nothing and they decided to rest all the regulars and setup their rotation. Historically since 1996 they have won over 95 wins on the average if I am not mistaken (except for one or two years that they were the Wild Card).

 

[iceturkee]

okay, i'll go out on a real big limb and say the reds will win more games than the cubbies. as we all know, big spending doesn't always equate to big wins!!

 

[hancox]

mark it down - yankees win < 90. Of course, I'd only be satisfied with 0-162 for the candy stripers

 

[cybok0]

here are my preditions too:

National East

Braves 95
Phillies 85
Marlins 85
Mets 80 (no pitching)
D.C. 70


National Central

Cardinals 85
Pirates 85
Astros 83
Reds 80
Cubs 70 (except for Carlos Zambrano there pitching sucks)

National West

Dodgers 85
Padres 85
Giants 80
Rockies 75


American East

Red Sox 90
Blue Jays 90
Yankees 85
Orioles 80
Rays 70

American Central

Tigers 95
Twins 90
Indians 80
White Sox 80
Royals 62

American West

Angels 90
Rangers 85
A's 80
Mariners 80

Tigers and Braves in the World Series, Braves win.

 

[Ramy]

mark it down - yankees win < 90. Of course, I'd only be satisfied with 0-162 for the candy stripers

Amen!!!

 

[Jimbo]

DetFans, said it very well. To MLB the Detroit Tigers were a fluke last year. The pressure of repeating for a second year in a row is on and accordingly they do not think Detroit can handle it. The Detroit Tigers have to repeat this year in order for them not look like a fluke in 2006. So the pressure is on.

The Yankees won 97 games last year with less than stellar rotation.

Last Year Rotation

Randy Johnson
Mike Mussina
Chie Ming Wang
Jarret Right
I do not remember the fifth starterd but it does not matter.

2007 Rotation

Chie Ming Wang
Mike Mussina
Andy Pettite
Carl Pavano

by subtracting Randy Johnson and Jarret Right... Two guys who could not last 5 innings on the mound and put so much pressure on the bullpen and replacing them with Andy Pettite and Carl Pavano, they have improve the starting rotation. So in 2007 the Starting Rotation is much better. BTW, the Yankees could have won 99 games last year but after winning 97 the last two games of the season meant nothing and they decided to rest all the regulars and setup their rotation. Historically since 1996 they have won over 95 wins on the average if I am not mistaken (except for one or two years that they were the Wild Card).

Personally , I would think Pavano to be a down grade from Randy last year.
Randy may not have been at his best, but he did WIN 17 GAMES last year.
I would morgage my house that Pavano would NOT do that this year, regardless of run support.

Jimbo

 

[springdale_sam]

How come nobody is picking the Giants in the west